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Mathematical model of corruption-related crimes

Keywords:

S. V. Polyakov – Ph.D. (Eng.), Associate Professor, Russian Public Service Academy (Vladimir branch). E-mail: lika0801@yandex.ru


As an indicator of corruption-related crimes in Russia was used Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI). An additive mathematical model of change corruption perception index for Russia was developed. The model showed a slight tendency to decrease corruption crime in Russia and the presence of cyclic components. The relative error of simulation was 4.4%.
References:

  1. Kravchenko Ye., Nikol'skiy A. Stavki rastut // Vedomosti. № 181 (2451). 25 sentyabrya 2009 g.: http://www. vedomosti.ru/newspaper/article/2009/09/25/214725 (07 dekabrya 2013 g.).
  2. Doklad General'nogo prokurora Rossiyskoy Federatsii Yu. Ya. Chayki na zasedanii Soveta Federatsii Federal'nogo Sobraniya Rossiyskoy Federatsii 28 aprelya 2010 g. (istochnik: http://genproc.gov.ru/smi/news/news-11859/).
  3. 3http://www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/b11_01/IssWWW.exe/Stg/d12/3-6.htm
  4. 4http://www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/b12_01/IssWWW.exe/Stg/d09/3-5.htm
  5. http://www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/b12_01/IssWWW.exe/Stg/d09/3-5.htm
  6. http://transparency.org/whoweare/organisation
  7. http://transparency.org.ru/

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